BEST of the BETS

Thanks Fuzzy.

Correction to LSP, forgot to take out the losing stake doh.

LSP: -14.97 (win), -13.66 (place)

Thanks Doubler. Antony Brittain stable is in red hot form, 6 winners from last 7 runners, all at good prices. That’s really something for a stable that had 25+ winners in a year for first time last year, they will surely go past that this year.

LSP: -14.47 (win), -13.16 (place)

Bet 20

Look Surprised (6:30 Wolverhampton)

LSP: -9.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

Unplaced.

LSP: -17.03 (win), -13.69 (place)

6:30 Wolverhampton

Mutabaahy @ 6/1
Look Surprised @ 8/1

0.5 pt on each

Good luck.

Bet 19

Mandalayan (4:00 Wolverhampton)

LSP: -8.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

4:00 Wolverhampton - MANDALAYAN is only 1 from 19 but has run ok on all 4 runs in novice/maiden hurdles and I think he has a good chance in this jumpers’ bumper. Warren Greatrex is 10 from 54 (+15 LSP) in these races. Paul Nicholls has an ok record in these races, but it is shockingly bad when they are favourite, just 1 winner from 22 favourites (7 of them odds on) for Nicholls in these bumpers so I am prepared to oppose the favourite. Neil King does very well in these races, but his runner Canyon City is a 3 mile winner so may find this too sharp.

Among the trainers that have runners at Wolverhampton today, Paul Webber, Neil King & Brian Ellison have the best records in these races, so their runners maybe worth considering.

Selection - Mandalayan @ 7/4

Good luck.

Nice placer.

Clearly lacked fitness, always struggling and pulled up. That was the risk.

LSP: -16.03 (win), -12.69 (place)

Bet 18

St Erney (4:20 Exeter)

LSP: -7.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

Devon National (4:20 Exeter) - this looks a strong renewal of the race, and is made more competitive by the fact that a lot of these have got very good records in heavy going so you can make a case for several of these. I have taken a chance on an outsider even though I have doubts about fitness. ST ERNEY has only had 3 runs, two of them here at Exeter, ran well on both occasions, finishing 10 lengths 3rd behind Lil Rockerfeller in a novice chase on debut and then a battling win in a good handicap in March. Both those wins were around 3 miles but he looked like he will stay further so I don’t think distance will be a problem. Main doubt is the fitness, as he hasn’t run for almost a year, and in such a competitive race that could be a problem. I will be happy if he can just get placed.

Selection - St Erney @ 25/1 (most bookies offering 4 places)

Good luck.

Unfortunately, Little Light only 3rd behind the easy winner.

LSP: -15.03 (win), -11.69 (place)

Wow, Miss Heritage couldn’t have won it any more easily, very well backed too, so maybe that’s the one they wanted today. Hoping they can do a double but I had enough on this to cover my main bet and more.

Shall We Go Now
Fugitives Drift
Skylanna Breeze
Tequila Blaze
Cave Top
Miss Heritage
LITTLE LIGHT (Nap)

Thanks.

Bet 17

Little Light (4:41 Huntingdon)

LSP: -6.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

4:41 Huntingdon - risky selection as I am going against the two last time out winners by backing the outsider of four LITTLE LIGHT. She is not the most consistent but enjoys these conditions and may still have some improvement after just 4 runs for her new stable, she won one of those 4 races at Leicester but has been disappointing on other 3 runs, including when beaten 50 lengths here in November which is the biggest negative for me. That was over 2 and half miles, and also before she had the wind operation, so I am hoping that will make the difference. Lucy Wadham does very well this time of year, and could just be coming into form after a winner in past week. She runs two today, this one and Miss Heritage in 4:11 race (I am having a little bet on that one too) and I think there is a good chance she will get one winner today. Ibleo for in-form Venetia Williams is a big danger.

Selection - Little Light @ 5/1

Good luck.

Arghhh, saw this earlier and was going to back it, then got busy with something else and completely forgot about it.

Well done again, you are most consistent.

Gave it a good go, trading as short as 1.27 in running, no complaints just got beaten by a good horse, pair miles clear of the rest.

LSP: -14.03 (win), -10.69 (place)

Bet 16

The Edgar Wallace (5:02 Doncaster)

LSP: -5.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

Thanks KJ, Fuzzy

5:02 Doncaster - not easy opposing a horse that won by 20+ lengths on debut but heavy going can exaggerate distances and this race has more depth in it, so while Adrimel may win again I don’t think it will be as easy this time. I have taken him on with THE EDGAR WALLACE, who also ran well on debut when finishing a close 3rd at Exeter, I feel he may be better suited by going left handed today. That probably wasn’t a bad race, the 4th horse has gone and won next time @ 16/1 (a rare bumper winner for Jimmy Frost). Kim Bailey has a fair record in this race - 8/1 3rd of 16, 18/1 unplaced, 9/4 winner (2 years ago) & 11/4 3rd of 7. Bailey also has a very good record 2nd time out in bumpers, 9 wins from 20 (+22 LSP) 2nd time with horses that were beaten under 4 lengths on debut. I am hoping he will improve enough to give the favourite a race at least.

This maybe a good race, and few newcomers I will be watching for future. Tom George has previously introduced Black Op (Grade 1 winner won this race) and Some Buckle (3rd in this race, won class 2 handicap) in this race, so Slap Dash Harry maybe worth watching though betting doesn’t suggest much is expected of him today. Other newcomers to watch, Ballybegg (trainer very good in bumpers), Roussimoff (nice staying pedigree), Brinkhill (nothing expected on debut especially against geldings, but trainer very good 2nd time so will be interesting if she shows promise today).

Selection - The Edgar Wallace @ 3/1

Good luck.

Neverushacon won @ 4/1, Josies Orders only 4th.

LSP: -13.03 (win), -11.31 (place)