BEST of the BETS

Great e/w call though.

VWD.

Double up, WD.

Ingleby goes in.

Cousin Pete was available at 10s last night. Now 4/1 second fav. Got 3rd in the Foxhunters last year. This may only be the start of his Cheltenham prep though. But I know an owner and ex-rider who fancy it.

Great story.

Just keep banning the cnut. He always reveals himself anyway, because he's a hopeless boaster.

Paid 4.9 and 3.87 BSP place.

Loadsa top-rated winners.

No luck today.

Angus Milan 2nd, nice.

You can get slightly better prices on the last 3.

No, no, no - a rating that hits 5% AT THE TARGET PRICE LEVEL. Easy to find.

Anyhow here's today's after all:

Thurles 13:35
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Paolozzi 50/1
Thurles 14:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 A Toi Phil 25/1
Ayr 14:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4 Finaghy Ayr 18/1
Ayr 15:05
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Bulls Head 20/1

On point 5 above, re multiples, I only do the win doubles and trebles at minimum stakes. If I get a huge win I'll probably do at least the 4folds as well.

Thanks Maxh.

Intend to take a day off from posting or even a break. But I will say this: anyone can, truly, create the same system for themselves:

1) Decide on your minimum BOG price. I'm sticking strictly to 16/1 now, and I suggest you don't go under 14/1.

2) Set yourself a minimum target win SR of 5%. Of course if the winners were all under 19/1 you'd lose on them, but they come in at much bigger prices too. If you're hitting on 5% or even as low as 3% you should be well in profit, certainly on Betfair, and your place SR will automatically be bigger than your win SR. The combined win/place SR should see a very comfortable, even fab profit, without the stress of extreme low SR from win only.

3) Find yourself some system/ratings/tipster/whatever that will hit the win SR at your target minimum price. Frankly, I found that to be very easy.

4) Paper trade or trade at minimum stakes for some weeks as you build stakes up. You can start with a minimum 5p e/w on the singles, even online. As long as your total bet on all selections hits at least 50p you'll be okay.

5) I do the multiples at minimum stakes because even a win treble at 5p should return at least £500-£1000 at these prices. Don't expect to hit this more than once every 2 months though. It might do it once a month, I dunno, I've only showing 9 days results above.

5) Exhibit the patience of Job. Basically, have very little interest in whether any particular day is a winning one or not. What counts is your results over several days. The place SR should at the very least keep things ticking over.

Done analysis of the last 9 posted days of selections. Shlda been 10, but missed the first, which if you go back you'll see was also profitable.

Just 5 wins from 68 (last 9 days) that have run so far. But that's alright. In truth I don't even need 5 wins from 100 at BSP, or even BOG!

There have also been 6 placers.

Win SR 7.4%. Place SR 8.8%. Combined win/place SR 16.2%. All 3 figures are very good for these prices, especially the win SR.

Win prices showing best BOG and BSP win/place in brackets: 50/1 (62.43/15), 33/1 (44/6), 16/1 (40.36/9.07), 14/1 (10.36/4.06), 14/1 (7.75/2.77).

Win profit at best BOG: 69 points.

Win profit at BSP: 96.9.

Placers: 66/1 (14.64), 50/1 (29.46), 33/1 (4.35), 28/1 *50pR4 (2.64), 25/1 (6.77), 20/1 (5.8).

Place profit (including winners' place returns): 32.56.

Combined BSP win/place profit: 129.46. That's from 9 posted days'selections.

Remember that BSP win/place prices are affected by whether a horse has been backed in or not since the original BOG price.

Thanks calvert, coss, Rodeo, CMB.

BSP win was 62.43, place 15.

Well that was nice. Nobody noticed yet? Lol.

Mooroverthebridge wins at 50/1, :party:

When I saw that Finley Marsh was atop this one I knew they must be serious.

Will update BSP win/place later.

Zafar for me too.

Best wishes.