BEST of the BETS

Need to work on these. For now, have cut them right down to a few I consider best value.

Done an e/w L15:

Lingfield 11:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Bint Dandy 25/1
Ascot 12:55
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Call To Order 16/1
Ascot 13:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Kentford Heiress 18/1
Wolverhampton 20:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Cool Kitty 20/1

Haydock 13:15
Outright Betting
Activial 9/2
Huntingdon 15:25
Outright Betting
Simply Loveleh 7/4
Wolverhampton 20:45
Outright Betting
Sayesse 13/2

0.5pt e/w on the 1st and 3rd bets, 1 pt win on the middle one. Also a win Trixie at 1/5th singles unit stakes.

You can get 5/1 and 2/1` elsewhere for the first 2 bets.

Arbourfield was a close second,11/1 bog. Not as close as Flashjack. Ended up with just 3 placers from 13. Profits took a knock. Fair to say that the jury's still out on this selection method, but worth plugging on.

!st and 3rd both got second at 15/8 and 5/2, the middle pick got 3rd at a gratifying 16/1. Loss overall but not too bad.

WD.

Thanks finley. First bunch of 7 finished with Flashjack just done on the line, a slightly gutting 2nd at 11/1. Onto the last batch of 6. Good luck to us both.

3rd race in, Duhallowcountry is backed in to 22s at the off, gets a gallant second, I got 33s. 1/4 odds the place. Nice.

Got BOG this time.

All selections 0.5pt e/w. First bunch is 7 selections, also covered in win doubles and trebles at 1/10th full point singles unit stakes. Same applies to the second bunch, which is 6 selections:

Catterick 12:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Lough Legend 14/1
Ffos Las 12:35
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Magical Man 14/1
Catterick 12:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2 Duhallowcountry 33/1
Ffos Las 13:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2 Looks Frozen 28/1
Catterick 13:50
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Jovial Joey 16/1
Ascot 14:40
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Dream Bolt 14/1
Ffos Las 14:50
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Flashjack 10/1

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dundalk 18:30
Outright Betting
Carried 12/1
Kempton 19:15
Outright Betting
Spirit Kingdom 22/1
Dundalk 20:00
Outright Betting
Arbourfield 11/1
Dundalk 20:30
Outright Betting
Coreczka 9/1
Kempton 20:45
Outright Betting
Sotomayor 22/1

Ascot 14:05
Outright Betting
Thomas Darby 13/8 1 pt win
Kempton 17:15
Outright Betting
First Link 7/1 0.5pt e/w
Dundalk 19:30
Outright Betting
Stranagone 9/4 1 pt win

Win trixie at 1/5th singles full point unit stakes.

WD.

Done a bit of analysis on the new system longshots which I've posted over the last 3 days. There have been 24 bets (might look like more, but it is only 24). They have produced 4 winners, at (bog) 33/1, 25/1, 16/1, 11/1. I note that I only did Betfred's mostly crap non-bog prices because I either did them the night before (Betfraud only do bog in the morning, or up to a certain time in the afternoon) or I did them (first day) in a Lucky, which is always non-bog online with them. The non-bog prices I got were respectively 25/1, 25/1, 12/1, 9/1 (got the L31 boost of 4xprice on the last one though).

There were also 3 placers at (bog) 22/1, 16/1, 16/1. Betfred non-bog taken was 22/1, 10/1, 10/1.

What a swizz, you may say. However, the Betfred non-bog did give me a 9 point advantage with one price, Exceeding Power, got 25s and SP 16/1. If I'd taken the morning bog price I don't think it'd have been 25s.

Anyhow, on win singles only those 4 win bets delivered overall profit of 36 points (not counting the Lucky31 price boost for a single winner). Very interestingly, doing e/w added 7 to the profit, even at Betfred non-bog! It gives an extra 7 points, so +43 overall.

However, looking at it another way, doing 2 pts win on each selection instead of 1 pt e/w gives a return of 150 pts on outlay of 48, profit 102 pts. Again, that's Betfraud non-bog.

However, I'd rather do e/w singles. Still good profit, safer, and avoids being annoyed when you miss out on a longshot placer.

I don't think, now, that it's worth doing e/w multiples. Not enough placers. I was probably lucky to sneak a small profit on them today. Very small stakes win doubles and trebles on not more than 7 selections at a time are probably the way to go. Winners can bunch up, and if you catch a treble the return will be big.

But the main thing is e/w singles. I reckon the way to do it is 1% of a rolling bank, adjusted at end of each day, but never betting less than that original 1%. So if you had a bank of £200 you'd bet £1 e/w minimum on each selection. Suggest win multiples would be not more than 10p. Even a 5p win treble should pay a minimum £60, and that's if the 3 wins were all only 10/1.

Thanks men. Next picks will be tomorrow morn, if anything qualifies.

I felt a bit sorry for you as my longshot picked off your MM in the final strides, Mugz, but realised I'd have felt even more sorry for myself if mine got beat after that great run through the field :)

I was slightly concerned that I'd gone and picked the rag in the 12 runner 7.30 race, but Delilah Park scoots in at 33s :party:

Now it's Whenapoet 3rd 16/1 (led till last 20 yards or so). 5 to go.

Thanks CMB. Have to say that after 3 days the results are interesting, way in front to level stakes.

Derrynane goes in at 4/1, and earlier Tillys Delight was a n/r. Good profit :party:

From my first 6, Fleury's Fort has gone in (thrilling finish) at 16s, and earlier Kayf Blanco was 3rd at same price. One to go from those, then onto the last bunch of 7.

VWD.

VWD.

Though I bet you wish you'd done some multiples - think what 165 trebles @ 10p each would have won....