Flat season bets Balance = -12.10 pts
Backed one early for tomorrow.
3:35 Salisbury - nice handicap for 3 year olds and it was hard to decide between few potential improvers like Sash, GUILDHALL, Dark Miracle & Pytilia, all of these except the selection are last time out winners, Mayfair Spirit also won last time but he has had a bit more racing than others so may not have as much improvement. To my selection, Guildhall, he made his debut in a good maiden at Sandown last August, finishing 3rd @ 33/1, couple of lengths behind Walkinthesand, who was narrowly beaten in Feilden Stakes (Listed) last week. Guildhall has been sent off favourite on his next 3 starts, last time at Doncaster backed into 10/3 from morning price of 7/1, he was beaten 2 1/2 lengths in finishing 3rd of 9. But by all accounts, that Doncaster race was more competitive than tomorrow’s race, it was a class 3 with average rating of 79 (compared to class 4 with average of 73 tomorrow), horses finishing 1st, 2nd & 4th had all won their previous start and none of the 9 runners were rated below 75, whereas tomorrow 7 of the 12 are rated below 75, so I feel if Guildhall was considered favourite for that race he must have a good chance in this, and trainer has won this race before. One negative, there always has to be one, could be the draw. It’s not impossible to win from high draw here, but low draws can often dominate. Some of the lower rated horses tomorrow are making their handicap debuts so it’s possible they may improve but I think the winner is likely to come from top 4 or 5 in the handicap. Some may remember that I backed Cromwell at Lingfield last month, but he became a non runner. He shouldn’t be good enough to take this as it’s a stronger race, but has place possibilities from stall 2 as does Purbeck Hills from stall 1.
Guildhall, 1 pt win @ 9/2
Good luck,