BEST of the BETS

My selection meant to be Elton Des Mottes in 4th race, not Boomerang.

Harry Cobden looks to have a good chance with both his rides, and Skeltons will probably get a winner or two, though most of theirs are shortish prices.

My selections for all the races would be

Monsieur D Arque
Set List
Bramble Brook
Boomerang
Deauville Dancer
Lizzie Langton
Sehayli (e/w)

Good luck.

Didn’t watch the race, but I see Concierge narrowly missed out on a place staying on, wouldn’t have won but probably needs a longer trip now. Yolo Again placed 4th 50/1, I should have done a saver on that but didn’t grrrr.

Bet 8

Concierge (3:40 Lingfield)

LSP: +6.48

Wins - 8/11, 7/1, 11/4

Good luck today, especially with Concierge.

Ok mate, I misunderstood then.

Nice winner, Mugz. 30% profit after nearly a hundred selections, you seem to have found a good system.

Spindrifter, no need for that. Dexy has passed on good info on many occasions in past, no one can get it right all the time. And no one makes anyone back a horse on here.

Thanks, Dodd. Yes, so so close, touched odds on in running. Nice drift to 14/1, and I am just relieved to get my first returns on this thread.

Clonmel’s only flat meeting of the year today, and I have had a small bet in the maiden at 5:40

5:40 Clonmel - 73 rated Elite Trooper Grey sets a good marker, last year 72 rated horse finished 2nd, this year’s race possibly is a bit weaker despite greater numbers, and usually it takes a mid 70s performance to win this. So I think ETG will be thereabouts again and Willie McCreery’s runners have to be respected here and he has won with his last 3 runners here, there is just a risk that this horse maybe a bit one paced as he has placed last 3 times now. Kastasa for Dermot Weld could improve on her sole run last year but she really needs to and her price is based more on her connections than strength of her form. Bar Room Bore almost sprung a 50/1 surprise at Cork last week, and could take this if building on that run. But I have gone each way for VERY EXCELLENT (10/1) who has had a couple of runs at Dundalk, finishing 4th both times. 2nd of those runs was in same race as Pearlman, who won for me yesterday posted on other thread, selection was 3 1/4 lengths behind Pearlman but as this is a lower quality race than yesterday I feel he has a good chance of finishing in first 3. I am not sure about the draw here, and stall 14 could possibly be a negative. Pedigree suggests switch to turf could see him improve, his dam has produced 6 different flat winners and their record is a lot better on turf - 6 wins from 53 runs on turf compared to 0 from 16 on all weather. And his sire’s progeny also has a slightly better record on turf than AW. This is a long distance for Andrew McNamara to send his horses and he has had winners here over jumps, his only previous flat runner here won @ 7/2. So there are enough positives there, hopefully he will run well. Bar Room Bore is the biggest danger in my opinion.

Very Excellent, 0.5 pt each way @ 10/1

Good luck.

Thanks John, Joe. Unlucky, Joe, but hopefully more winners to come.

Thanks guys. Price came back in, good that you got on at 4/1 Dodd.

Regarding the above race, market is speaking very strongly in favour of O’Brien horse which is as short as 8/13 now, so I may have picked the wrong one again but let’s see.

No, mate, I am just an amateur racing enthusiast, but thanks for your kind praise. I do put a lot of work into coming to my selections that’s why most of the time you will see me have just one bet a day, when I have more selections it often means that I haven’t spent as much time on them. It might sound strange but I get more satisfaction if a horse that I selected after thorough studying runs well than if I get a winner without studying. My way of studying is that I pick a race and try to find similar races from past and see what factors were most important, it’s not perfect, it’s trial and error to find some angles. I always tried to approach races this way, but these days there are sites that you can use to look up past racing data and it makes things much easier.

Bet 7

Pearlman (8:15 Dundalk)

LSP: +3.73

Wins - 8/11, 7/1

Good luck. He used to get one early 2yo debut winner about every season till 2012, but nothing since then, in fact no 2yo winner before June for him in last 6 seasons. 0 from 58 (4 placed) with the ones he debuts at Beverley, although only 5 of them were single figure prices. He had a similar debut gamble here last year, Joe The Beau, 20/1 into 7/1, finished 3rd of 7.

Thanks Rodeo, Dodd.

Thanks FLA, and Mugz. Happy with 2nd place, winner could be worth following as she overcame the high draw and won by nearly 3 lengths.

Poor selection in hindsight, didn’t help his chance by again not settling, probably would not have been good enough anyway but doesn’t seem straightforward. Again the horse highlighted as the danger wins.

Well done, Hippo, another confident winner from you.