BEST of the BETS

Done analysis of the last 9 posted days of selections. Shlda been 10, but missed the first, which if you go back you'll see was also profitable.

Just 5 wins from 68 (last 9 days) that have run so far. But that's alright. In truth I don't even need 5 wins from 100 at BSP, or even BOG!

There have also been 6 placers.

Win SR 7.4%. Place SR 8.8%. Combined win/place SR 16.2%. All 3 figures are very good for these prices, especially the win SR.

Win prices showing best BOG and BSP win/place in brackets: 50/1 (62.43/15), 33/1 (44/6), 16/1 (40.36/9.07), 14/1 (10.36/4.06), 14/1 (7.75/2.77).

Win profit at best BOG: 69 points.

Win profit at BSP: 96.9.

Placers: 66/1 (14.64), 50/1 (29.46), 33/1 (4.35), 28/1 *50pR4 (2.64), 25/1 (6.77), 20/1 (5.8).

Place profit (including winners' place returns): 32.56.

Combined BSP win/place profit: 129.46. That's from 9 posted days'selections.

Remember that BSP win/place prices are affected by whether a horse has been backed in or not since the original BOG price.

Impressive

Thanks Maxh.

Intend to take a day off from posting or even a break. But I will say this: anyone can, truly, create the same system for themselves:

1) Decide on your minimum BOG price. I'm sticking strictly to 16/1 now, and I suggest you don't go under 14/1.

2) Set yourself a minimum target win SR of 5%. Of course if the winners were all under 19/1 you'd lose on them, but they come in at much bigger prices too. If you're hitting on 5% or even as low as 3% you should be well in profit, certainly on Betfair, and your place SR will automatically be bigger than your win SR. The combined win/place SR should see a very comfortable, even fab profit, without the stress of extreme low SR from win only.

3) Find yourself some system/ratings/tipster/whatever that will hit the win SR at your target minimum price. Frankly, I found that to be very easy.

4) Paper trade or trade at minimum stakes for some weeks as you build stakes up. You can start with a minimum 5p e/w on the singles, even online. As long as your total bet on all selections hits at least 50p you'll be okay.

5) I do the multiples at minimum stakes because even a win treble at 5p should return at least £500-£1000 at these prices. Don't expect to hit this more than once every 2 months though. It might do it once a month, I dunno, I've only showing 9 days results above.

5) Exhibit the patience of Job. Basically, have very little interest in whether any particular day is a winning one or not. What counts is your results over several days. The place SR should at the very least keep things ticking over.

On point 5 above, re multiples, I only do the win doubles and trebles at minimum stakes. If I get a huge win I'll probably do at least the 4folds as well.

All logical and good sense
But point 3 remains the issue
A Rating with say 5per cent strike rate overall may we have 0 per cent above16/1. and maybe 25 per cent strike rate below 5/1
Help!

No, no, no - a rating that hits 5% AT THE TARGET PRICE LEVEL. Easy to find.

Anyhow here's today's after all:

Thurles 13:35
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Paolozzi 50/1
Thurles 14:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 A Toi Phil 25/1
Ayr 14:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4 Finaghy Ayr 18/1
Ayr 15:05
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Bulls Head 20/1

You can get slightly better prices on the last 3.

Well done on the brilliant result yesterday, and good post above explaining the system.

Good luck with today’s selections.

No luck today.

All e/w:

L'fd 1.0 G.Club 20/1

1.30 S.Rose 20/1

3.10 Planetoid 14/1

K'tn 4.40 Mr Potter 28/1

7.15 Esspeegee 50/1

7.45 L.O.York 16/1,
Affair 22/1

E/w singles, and, since only 5 selections, doubles and trebles also e/w at 1/5th of singles unit stakes:

Wolverhampton 16:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3 Blue Rocks 33/1
Wolverhampton 17:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Raashdy 16/1
Wolverhampton 18:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Precious Plum 22/1
Wolverhampton 19:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3 Idol Deputy 50/1
Wolverhampton 19:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3 Little Choosey 20/1

No luck today. 11 unplaced on the trot over last 2 posted days.

Really should only have done the first two and the last one, since prices on the others are below my minimum. But have done the 6 to give greater interest in the day.

Win singles only this time, plus win doubles and trebles at 1/5th singles stakes:

Southwell 13:35
Outright Betting
Pearl Noir 20/1
Southwell 14:05
Outright Betting
The Lock Master 16/1
Southwell 15:40
Outright Betting
Arabic Culture 10/1
Southwell 16:10
Outright Betting
Luis Vaz De Torres 12/1
Newcastle 16:40
Outright Betting
Lucky Lodge 12/1
Newcastle 18:25
Outright Betting
Malaspina 14/1

Lucky Lodge got 4th, SP 7/1. That was the only chink of light today. Deffo due a winner.

First 5 in win singles and win doubles, trebles at 1/5th singles stakes. Tried to do a L31 but they wouldn't accept it.

Wolverhampton 13:30
Outright Betting
Twistsandturns 25/1
Wolverhampton 14:05
Outright Betting
Outlaw Torn 20/1
Wolverhampton 14:40
Outright Betting
Concur 18/1
Wolverhampton 16:10
Outright Betting
Captain Pugwash 16/1
Dundalk 17:30
Outright Betting
Fern Owl 25/1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Second 5 ditto first 5 (note 2 picks in the 6.45):

Newcastle 18:15
Outright Betting
Tiercel 20/1
Newcastle 18:45
Outright Betting
Bahkit 16/1
Newcastle 18:45
Outright Betting
Rock Island Line 20/1
Dundalk 19:30
Outright Betting
Zalzar 25/1
Newcastle 19:45
Outright Betting
Dream Ally 20/1

Best thing about today was the stakes returned on 3 horses thanks to Newcastle being abandoned before the 6.45,

It's now 28 selections since the last winner.

Some smaller prices than I should take, just to get more races in.

E/w singles, plus win doubles and trebles at 1/4 singles unit stakes:

Dundalk 17:00
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Best Not Argue 9/1
Dundalk 17:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4 Pacolita 66/1
Dundalk 18:00
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2 Numerian 7/1
Dundalk 18:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Admodum 50/1
Dundalk 20:00
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4 Spinning Pearl 12/1
Dundalk 20:30
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4 Poitin 25/1

At last a winner again. Numerian 7/1 in the 6.0. Also 2 n/rs in the 5.30 and 8.30.

Actually made a small profit of 1/6th on outlay. Makes a change from last few posted days.

Well done.