They had it right off with this filly on its lastrun landing a fair gamble. Powered home for an easy win and can only see the same result today. Some strange jockey bookings here with Murphy switching from Equitation who beat Danzan and Probert who rode Danzan that day riding Diamond Dougal. Diamond Dougal has beaten Equitation a few times and that would make him the danger here but with Moll drawn either side of the 2 pace horses and the rest of the field likely to be held up it looks good for Keniry to get a nice position in 3/4 and get 1st run at the leaders. Any improvement from last run and he’ll be away and gone hopefully. 3 of her 5 siblings hit rprs over 100 and rated 87 at the minute there’s scope for better to come. Ed Walker is 15/41 37% in these races.
6:10 Windsor
BILLY BUTTON 20/1 25% stakes
Without fav (4) 11/1 25%
Without favs (4/7) 13/2 50%
Taking a chance here 100% based on jockey bookings. Dwyer rides for Muir. Muir has 3rd fav who was backed on debut and money again today but Dwyer who rode last time jocks off onto Billy Button. Could be because he rides for Ivory late but still doesn’t make sense so having a dabble at 20’s. Hopefully reading between the lines pays off
Won last 2 races after breaks and now gets career high mark, but at 68 it’s hardly a mountainous rating. He’s well bred and considering he’s ran twice since September 2018 there’s still room to improve. 5 wins from 19 runs is impressive enough but it’s the manner in which he’s won his last 2 from last to 1st without being shown the whip once which shows he’s improved enough to win off this mark. He’s only had 5 runs over 6 furlongs winning 3 times and 4th twice. As a hold up horse you’re going to need some pace to aim at and there’s 2 confirmed front runners here (scuzme/ Jordan electrics) we’re going to need both to take eachother on for the lead ideally and pick up the pieces. The ground could be against him is the negative but hopefully they’ll pull him out if that’s the case as they have twice previously.
7:40 Chelmsford
JUST THAT LORD 7/1
No luck in the dash but plenty of winners have come out of the also rans in that race. Luke Morris only ride on the card tonight who’s rode him to victory a few times previously. He’s weighted well on recent form with tropics who is half his price. The form of his previous race has worked out decent although it’s hard to get excited about sprint form as there’s so many variables. The price is right today for me
Beat the favourite Charles Kingsley 2 runs back fair and square yet receives 9lb less tomorrow. Trainer Jim Goldie has an excellent record in this race in last 3 runnings getting 2nd followed by 1st and 2nd before winning it again last year. Will be played late so e/w looks a good bet just hope he doesn’t go too wide to make his challenge
5:00 Royal Ascot
CENOTAPH 20/1
Jeremy Noseda said this will be his last ever runner so hopefully it’s tuned up to the eyeballs and runs a stonker. Moore onboard
3:40 Royal Ascot
MIRAGE DANCER 11/2
Southern France 9/2
Hard to ignore Sir Stoutes record in this race and no doubt he’s got Mirage Dancer primed for a big run. Rate Southern France the main danger so playing f/c with that 1. Looked to run out of steam against Stradivarius but find it interesting he runs here instead of trying to take him on again. Think the race fell into Defoes hands last time and he’s a weak fav but just my opinion. Masar dodged a harder race to run here which doesn’t scream confidence either.
1:35 Redcar
CRUISING 11/1
Up against an odds on shot who looks smart on form but can’t see anything else to take it on in this race so e/w play looks decent. Cruising was traveling like a dream on debut in behind horses but the gap came a few strides after the front 2 had already got going and ultimately ran abit green but expected on debut. Mulrennan sticks with it and to say hes been unlucky last few days is an understatement. He’s finished 2nd or 3rd on his last 7 rides hoping he can get this up tomorrow and he’s got a few nice looking rides after
Mick Channons charge is dropping massively in grade today and given the yards recent form - surely this has a good chance.
Helvetian has contested some hot races over the past few years and those races included a win at Salisbury over this trip off a mark of 89.
Runs off 85 today and as a C&D winner as a 2yo will also be in his favour.
The return to this venue, in a much weaker race than he’s used to, off a well in rating - must be factor in this event.
Final Comments : Proberts had a bit of shocker tonight and he’s 0-10 for this yard. But the horse is the class act in the field and there are first times for everything. Overpriced nevertheless.
its funny beyond equal was also in that higher class race that helvetian was in and was not that far behind it and has a pull
kinda same chance on paper
So I like to look between the lines when selecting horses to bet rather than the obvious. Sometimes what I see baffles me to death so Andrew Mullen is 1st choice jockey for Tom Tate and his TT Racing syndicate. Tomorrow at Doncaster they have 2 horses put in as fav. So I look and say where’s Mullen cus he ain’t on them and low behold he’s at the track but chooses not to ride any of the favs and instead comes for a newcomer of Loughnane which in theory has little to no chance.