BEST of the BETS

Placed 3rd @ 13/2

Tried one at Wetherby today.

3:45 Wetherby - ACDC (6/1) returns to action after finishing a good 3rd (of 16) in class 2 handicap at the Scottish National meeting. Drops in class here, and he does well in small fields, his last 3 wins have come in races of 6 or less runners and is 3 from 7 in these small fields. Jockey’s record on the horse is 113. That’s the positives, now a couple of negatives, distance maybe on the short side as he is better over further, but has won over 2 and half miles before. Bigger concern maybe that Chris Grant only occasionally gets winners first time in season so he may need the run, especially with Twiston-Davies’ and Longsdon’s in opposition who usually have them ready first time. But at 6/1, I think it’s worth the risk.

Good luck.

Wins at 12/1 :clap: Brilliant and well deserved!!!

great tip akd vwd

Well done!

Excellent AKD

Thanks everyone. I was happy with 6/1, but drift to 12/1, lovely.

great band as well nice pick

Well done AKD. :clap:

Well done

Well done and a great write up

wtg

Thanks all.

6:15 Chelmsford - tricky race, made more so by Archie Watson having the front two in betting. Watson has already had 48 juvenile winners this season, putting him behind only Johnston and Hannon in the list, I think he will be keen to get to 50 mark. It is a remarkable achievement for the young trainer in only his 2nd full season, what makes it more special is that he has done it with a lot less runners than other top trainers at a brilliant strike rate of 28%. Of his two runners in this race, Victoriano finished 6th on debut and could improve but I prefer ANYCITY (5/2). Anycity made a winning debut over this c&d in August, that race wasn’t anything special as the runner up was only rated 67, but Anycity improved on it when finishing runner up at Kempton next time in a race that included 4 previous winners. He was 2 lengths ahead of 78-rated Isle Of Wolves that day, has to give weight to 79-rated Itizzit today but with still more improvement likely after just two runs I think he may do it successfully.

Good luck.

Placed 2nd @ 11/4

3:35 Haydock - ALEMARATALYOUM (6/1) has improved a lot since joining Iain Jardine, winning 3 times from 9 runs this season. Two of those wins were over this c&d on Good to Firm (OR 81) and Good to Soft (OR 88). 3 lbs higher than last win but seems versatile regarding going, having been runner up on heavy too, and may still find a bit more improvement. Finished in midfield at York last time, but didn’t get a clear run and that was a stronger race than this anyway.

Each way bet @ 6/1

Good luck.

Won @ 6/1

Saturday 20th October

8:15 Wolverhampton - CAT ROYALE (5/1) took advantage of a dropping handicap mark to win at Lingfield two starts ago. Off 2 lbs higher he still remains well handicapped on some of his form from last year, for instance almost exactly a year ago he finished 4th (beaten 2 lengths) over this c&d from a 10 lbs higher mark than today, that form certainly gives him a good chance. Although he has only 1 win from 14 here, he has been placed another 5 times including when finishing 1 length 3rd in first time visor back in August, that was a good effort considering it was his first run after a two month break, visor was left off since then but is back on today. You can never be sure in these low grade races, but there are enough reasons to expect a good run from the selection.

Each way bet @ 5/1

Good luck.

nice winner today good price too

3rd @ 15/2

Ran a good race, happy with each way profit.

Sunday 21st October

4:00 Cork - Grade 2 Handicap Chase

Penny Jane is the favourite, but I can’t ignore the other mare in race LAKEMILAN (9/1). Interestingly, both of them had made their hurdling debut in same race. Penny Jane had won that contest, beating Lakemilan into 3rd by 8 lengths at level weights, but today Lakemilan is receiving 9 lbs. She recently won a Grade 2 handicap hurdle, returns to bigger obstacles now and assuming she has the same improvement as hurdles, she could take advantage of the lower chase mark. Kevin Brouder is worth his 7 lbs claim, and Terence O’Brien is a good judge of jockeys as in the past he has successfully used Mark Enright and David Splaine to win Graded handicaps when those jockeys were conditionals. I don’t think O’Brien, who trains locally, will be running her unless he felt she had a chance. There is another story attached to trainer and this race, Farrells Fancy, who was arguably his best horse to date, died after falling at the 2nd last fence when in a contested lead in this race a few years ago. It will be nice if Lakemilan can win.

Each way bet @ 9/1

Good luck.

Into 11/2 good luck. Great write up as usual.

well done yesterday m8.n gl 2day..

Thank you both.

Backed right down to 5/2 favourite, which looked a false price. But she ran a good race to finish a close 2nd, so each way profit made again at the early price of 9/1.

5:20 Plumpton - SEA’S ARIA (5/2), hard to be confident backing a horse that was beaten 67 lengths on its previous run, but it is that kind of race where every runner was beaten 20+ lengths last time. Selection hasn’t won for a long time, but this is the weakest race he is contesting and has placed form in much better races. Mark Hoad doesn’t get many winners, his strike rate is only 4% but it improves to 21% when his runners are in first two in betting.

Win bet @ 5/2

Good luck.

Poor today. Drifted to 4/1 and unplaced.