BEST of the BETS

So unlucky, Wby, but a very good 2nd with Therewillalwabeone.

Good luck, Wby.

Josies Orders won as expected, but Alpha Male was only 13th, the idea was right though as Peter Maher’s other 3 horses finished 3rd (33/1), 5th (100/1) & 8th (100/1), could have backed those 100/1s for extra places but picked the wrong one unfortunately.

I usually like having a bet on Irish races, but I think this is a poor card for a Saturday. I am not having any big bets, but might put a few in a multiple bet.

City Island should win the 1st, but at 1/5 you would be disappointed if it doesn’t. In two divisions of the maiden I think Sky Marshall and Faugernon could run well, both finished 2nd and 5th in same race 2 weeks ago, form of that race hasn’t been tested yet but I think it could be fair. In the Listed race, Pravalguna is th 4/7 favourite, Mullins has won this race with likes of Gitane Du Berlais & Benie Des Diuex in past and even those two didn’t go off at odds on, surely Pravalaguna is not better than those two so this must be a poor race for it to be such a short price, will probably win but I wouldn’t back it at that price. Konitho in the 2:40 is the best bet in my opinion even though Joseph O’Brien also has the 2nd favourite too, it was hard not to be impressed by the way Konitho beat a good flat horse Lethal Steps when making his debut here 2 weeks ago, and he looks worth following on that evidence. Scoir Mear (3:10) hasn’t won for a long time but has been running in Graded handicaps so could return to form taking a significant drop in class. She’s Made It (3:40) is consistent and this is a winnable race, only worry is she might find one too good again.

Well done.

Thank you.

Chess Grand Master won well, but Brokopondo was disappointing again, finishing only 7th or 8th. Fairly happy with the evening though.

4th, so no damage done if backed with Betfair. I should have known, how the money came for Drakensberg before the off as I like following that stable when the money is down.

Grace Rafaela was last. Just two more I like tonight

I have got a free bet from Betfair for the 5:30 winner, I have used it on Chess Grand Master (3/1) in the 7:30 race, even though he has it to do at these weights against couple of higher rated runners, but he won well returning from a 400 day absence last time and could improve for stepping up in trip.

Also a small bet on Brokopondo (9/1) in the 8:30, it’s almost two years since he last won a race, but that was over this c&d from a 21 lbs higher mark, so he is clearly well handicapped now. Having only 3rd start since joining his new trainer who has an excellent record of 7 from 32 (+50 LSP) in Dundalk handicaps, ran over shorter last time, but he is better over this trip, and jockey has a very good record for trainer too.

Thanks guys. I did trade it in running to guarantee a profit, because she had gone very short in running last twice. Probably should have left it, but it still worked out about a 5/1 winner for me so happy with that.

Good luck, CMB. I noticed that too, is not without chance dropping in class and on a mark he has won off before, good jockey too. I have backed Nisior Donn, although she is up in class, but she is in good form, backed it at 8/1 might trade it in running around 2.5 if she goes that short.

4 places with Betfair, and if it wins we get a free bet too.

Well done, Brian and Calvert with Toni’s A Star, what a price it ended up. My one gave it a good go from the front, trading at 2.28 in running but paid the price for setting a strong pace but his stable mate, who was backed late, grabbed 2nd.

Well done with Road To Rome, impressive results from filtered selections, I will look out for these.

Going very well, well done.

You could be right, most of his wins have come over 6/7 though, 1 from 14 over 5f, agree with you he is certainly well handicapped. Money has kept coming for it, and that could be significant, £6,356 out of £15586 (41%) matched on him, which is quite high. I have left it, especially now that the price is gone but good luck if backing.

One runner today

Tavener in the 8:15 at Wolverhampton

I don’t really fancy it on form, but there is apparently a bit of early gamble going on this one, over 30% of the money matched in the race on Betfair has been on this horse moving the price from 14.5 to 8.0

I have tried a different method for my pricing today, giving more weighting to ratings than other factors, let’s see if it goes better or worse.

RP: 4/1 Royal Mezyan, Time To Reason, 9/2 Toni’s A Star, 5/1 Midnightly, 15/2 Midnight Guest, 8/1 Krystallite, 12/1 Tavener, 16/1 Come On Dave, Fethiye Boy, Secret Potion, 25/1 Swendab

My prices: 10/3 Fethiye Boy, 9/2 Midnightly, 6/1 Toni’s A Star, 9/1 Time To Reason, Secret Potion, 14/1 Royal Mezyan, 16/1 Come On Dave, 18/1 Midnight Guest, 28/1 Krystallite, 50/1 Swendab, 66/1 Tavener

Prices available last night : 3/1 Royal Mezyan, 4/1 Time To Reason, 9/2 Midnightly, 11/2 Toni’s A Star, 8/1 Come On Dave, 17/2 Midnight Guest, Tavener, 10/1 Krystallite,14/1 Fethiye Boy, 20/1 Secret Potion, 33/1 Swendab

Fethiye Boy and Secret Potion appear to be value to me.

Ok, I will go with 8:15 Wolverhampton, low grade sprint but looks very open at first glance.

Won very easily, good reasoning and well done.

Nice couple of winners again, well done.