plumpton ratings
  • brian1147
    189
    Just about average withthe jump ratings, but thought i would stick these up today.
    starred the ones i hope will be involved at the finish.
    Don't forget the salt.
    NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
fraser island........1.90..150...57....141.. 115 .2.58x.3.2x..3.96... 107 ..61.5 .*
calva dauge..........2.75..166...70....135.. 112 .2.2...2.02..2.20... 117 ..88.8 .*
beaufort.............8.....144...61....00... 52 ..25....22....6.67... 50 ...21.6 .
milreu has...........10....154...32....109.. 91 ..44....50....9.23... 88 ...17.7 .
ballydoyle...........13....154...60....00... 54 ..14*...8.2*..11.3... 55 ...13.1 .*
truckers time........34....154...50....00... 52 ..100...540...12.2... 51 ...11.1 .
hewn from granite....67....154...22....100.. 85 ..130...160...9.42... 85 ...22.2 .
lightonthewing.......67....154...33....00... 52 ..85....430...12.3... 51 ...12.3 .
llanbeau.............67....154...00....00... 52 ..180...999...12.6... 51 ...10.6 .
ardbruce.............101...154...22....00... 52 ..999...999...9.68... 51 ...19.0 .
lisronagh stone......101...154...00....116.. 90 ..110...310...11.0... 90 ...14.2 .
queen among kings....101...147...9.....93... 80 ..330...740...11.1... 80 ...17.0 .
the topp notes.......101...144...100...00... 48 ..999...999...9.17... 48 ...17.7 .

NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
the flying sofa......2.75..154...60....140.. 110 .3.45..3.4...4.61... 108 ..47.0 .*
moabit...............3.5...155...70....00... 61 ..3.75..5.6...2.58... 58 ...53.3 .
breaking waves.......4.....161...33....140.. 109 .3.85..3.55..3.23... 110 ..57.1 .
colorado doc.........5.....155...00....139.. 105 .5.2...3.95..6.42... 106 ..36.3 .*
hawthorn cottage.....5.....162...21....122.. 101 .5.5x..5.3x..6.93... 101 ..33.3 .*
ostuni...............5.5...157...70....125.. 100 .6.6x..8.4x..4.20... 98 ...34.7 .
chill factor.........6.5...167...60....00... 61 ..11.5*.22*...7.60... 57 ...20 ...
ding ding............7.....157...100...124.. 98 ..17....16....7.46... 96 ...20 ...
paricolor............9.....154...50....123.. 96 ..6.4*..8*....8.28... 97 ...29.6 .
shaws cross..........9.....157...00....124.. 97 ..8.6...9.4...6.86... 97 ...24.2 .
marmont..............13....157...00....124.. 96 ..32*...26*...12.6... 95 ...11.1 .
the game is a foot...13....151...9.....125.. 95 ..30x...22x...11.0... 94 ...16.3 .
darebin..............15....166...60....00... 58 ..15.5*.NR*...8.49... 56 ...21.6 .
sirop de menthe......15....153...33....123.. 94 ..11.5x.9.4x..10.7... 96 ...16.6 .
darkest day..........21....156...60....125.. 95 ..11.5x.5.5x..11.7... 100 ..13.5 .

NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
wenceslaus...........2.75..163...67....124.. 108 .NR*...NR*...2.85... 96 ...47.0 .
finnegans garden.....5.....158...9.....127.. 102 .4.7*..5.7*..7.16... 101 ..33.3 .*
le coeur net.........6.....162...60....130.. 103 .3.05..3.2...3.93... 108 ..38.0 .*
elisezmoi............6.5...160...60....123.. 99 ..8.4...6.6...8.56... 99 ...24.2 .
away for slates......7.5...157...22....126.. 99 ..9.2...10.5..9.57... 98 ...21.6 .
tara bridge..........15....154...80....129.. 97 ..6.8...6.....6.79... 100 ..27.5 .*
skipping on..........17....156...100...121.. 94 ..9.6...9.2...8.10... 96 ...27.5 .

NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
the tin miner........3.25..158...80....117.. 102 .4.4...4.5...3.58... 99 ...47.0 .
velvet cognac........4.....154...00....112.. 97 ..6.6...6.6...7.27... 94 ...26.6 .*
age of wisdom........6.5...158...60....115.. 96 ..4.5x..6x....8.27... 97 ...23.5 .*
little boy boru......7.....153...25....115.. 94 ..6x....6.6x..5.26... 94 ...30.7 .
ask catkin...........9.....163...75....108.. 94 ..12.5..18.5..8.22... 92 ...26.6 .
crossley tender......11....161...00....112.. 94 ..12.5..10.5..7.93... 94 ...23.5 .
invicta lake.........15....146...25....106.. 86 ..18.5..15.5..8.32... 86 ...28.5 .
puppet warrior.......34....163...00....108.. 91 ..17....9.8...10.5... 94 ...15.3 .*
noruki...............51....166...00....00... 56 ..80x...50x...10.9... 56 ...14.0 .

NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
dylans sea song......3.75..164...30....96... 96 ..4.9...4.....8.40... 95 ...23.5 .*
shadows girl.........4.....147...00....107.. 93 ..4.1...4.5...3.36... 92 ...53.3 .
lady chartreuse......5.....162...24....104.. 95 ..5.8...6.4...6.62... 94 ...27.5 .*
amlovi...............7.....144...50....103.. 87 ..6.6...6.4...8.17... 88 ...25 ...*
sixties idol.........9.....148...100...99... 86 ..9.....9.6...6.03... 86 ...32 ...
montys angel.........11....166...100...100.. 92 ..14....18.5..6.21... 90 ...32 ...
oborne lady..........13....148...22....00... 52 ..13....13....7.66... 52 ...32 ...
    brian1147 Options
  • brian1147
    189
    joined two races together "stupid boy"

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
the flying sofa......2.75..154...60....140.. 110 .3.45..3.4...4.61... 108 ..47.0 .*
moabit...............3.5...155...70....00... 61 ..3.75..5.6...2.58... 58 ...53.3 .
breaking waves.......4.....161...33....140.. 109 .3.85..3.55..3.23... 110 ..57.1 .
colorado doc.........5.....155...00....139.. 105 .5.2...3.95..6.42... 106 ..36.3 .*

NAME                 PSP   WGT   RTF   RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   VAL    RATING CONF  RESULT
hawthorn cottage.....5.....162...21....122.. 101 .5.5x..5.3x..6.93... 101 ..33.3 .*
ostuni...............5.5...157...70....125.. 100 .6.6x..8.4x..4.20... 98 ...34.7 .
chill factor.........6.5...167...60....00... 61 ..11.5*.22*...7.60... 57 ...20 ...
ding ding............7.....157...100...124.. 98 ..17....16....7.46... 96 ...20 ...
paricolor............9.....154...50....123.. 96 ..6.4*..8*....8.28... 97 ...29.6 .*
shaws cross..........9.....157...00....124.. 97 ..8.6...9.4...6.86... 97 ...24.2 .
marmont..............13....157...00....124.. 96 ..32*...26*...12.6... 95 ...11.1 .
the game is a foot...13....151...9.....125.. 95 ..30x...22x...11.0... 94 ...16.3 .
darebin..............15....166...60....00... 58 ..15.5*.NR*...8.49... 56 ...21.6 .
sirop de menthe......15....153...33....123.. 94 ..11.5x.9.4x..10.7... 96 ...16.6 .
darkest day..........21....156...60....125.. 95 ..11.5x.5.5x..11.7... 100 ..13.5 .*
    brian1147 Options
  • seagrove1
    21
    Hi Brian, well done - you have picked the winner in the first 3 x races so far. I don' really understand ratings but from the table - how do you make your choices?
    seagrove1 Options
  • seagrove1
    21
    Winner 4 out of 4 races now :up:
    seagrove1 Options
  • Dadeo
    44
    I am glad someone asked. What individual rating or combination are you looking at, please?
    Dadeo Options
  • seagrove1
    21
    Impressive - 5 out of 5
    seagrove1 Options
  • seagrove1
    21
    Winners 6 out of six. Had another look at ratings table & I cannot work it out :monkey:
    seagrove1 Options
  • AKD
    492
    Nice work, Brian.
    AKD Options
  • Mugz
    539
    Well done Brian.

    :clap:
    Mugz Options
  • brian1147
    189
    Thanks for the comments lads.
    First let me say that today was an exceptional as far as the results went.
    As for the ratings, the raw rating is a figure derived from the psp,
    wgt,speed+(not shown),OR(not shown),rtf,and rpr.
    Berfair odds (bf1/bf2) taken at 9am and an hour or so before the first
    race, the val column is my idea based on 8 stats involving the jockey,
    trainer, horses form, course, distance, class and going.
    The rating column is a figure from the psp and bf2 cols. If the bf2 col
    is less than psp then the rating would be higher than raw showing some
    support for the horse.
    As for my selecting which horse:
    main rule is bf2 should be lower than val
    flexible rules
    rating should be higher than raw
    trainer should have a decent rtf figure
    confidence (conf) I like it to be quite high but being a new col.
    no proof yet.
    BUT on the whole it boils down to gut feeling, i do find it easier
    studying 3/4 horses instead of 8 and over.
    Once again thanks for the comments and the interest
    brian1147 Options
  • seagrove1
    21
    Thanks Brian - have to take your word for all that. Certainly worked today. Did you apply the same rules for Wolverhampton where you had 4 winners?
    seagrove1 Options
  • Dadeo
    44
    Cheers, Brian. (I'm none the wiser) well done anyway.
    Dadeo Options
  • Fuzzybear1649140
    98
    And I thought it was just me :smirk: :clap:
    Well done with the six timer thou m8
    Fuzzybear1649140 Options
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